Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Hallman accuses Ukrainian Pollesters of fraud

The Pot calling the Kettle black

Terry Hallman, A US Citizen and self appointed Human rights Activist illegally living in Kharkiv Ukraine has taken a dislike to recent public opinion polls.

Terry Hallman (a.k.a. US Expat) Kharkiv


Re: Over 80% of Ukrainians planning to participate in presidential elections (21 August 2009 | 14:28)
Posted by: US expat (IP Logged) • Posts: 3469
Date: August 25, 2009 12:30AM

Says:

for all we know, the methodology of the poll was to question a thousand people at gunpoint.

On SOCIS he made the following unsubstanciated comment

Re: Socis Poll: 25% Of Ukrainians Prepared To Support Yanukovych For President, 20.5% To Vote For Tymoshenko (14:45, Monday, August 17, 2009
Posted by: US expat (IP Logged) • Posts: 3469
Date: August 19, 2009 01:01AM

The polls themselves are not what might be considered methodologically sound. My interpretation: they're starting to look outright fraudulent. Who is Socis? Who pays them? If Hrytsenko or Lutsenko actually have 20%+ support, how would that information emerge?

Etc.

My interpretation: they’re starting to look outright fraudulent. Who pays them? If Hrytsenko or Lutsenko actually have 20%+ support, how would that information emerge?


The polls themselves are not what might be considered methodologically sound.

Re: Socis Poll: 25% Of Ukrainians Prepared To Support Yanukovych For President, 20.5% To Vote For Tymoshenko (14:45, Monday, August 17, 2009
Posted by: US expat (IP Logged) • Posts: 3469
Date: August 19, 2009 10:10PM

Is it possible to analyze the pollsters? Is their methodology published? Is the methodology based on stratified random sampling? What are the questions asked? How are they asked? (i.e., neutral or threatening tone of voice by the pollster?) Are any statements made by the pollster in addition to the questions? (for example., statements that would sound threatening?) Is there push polling? (for example, would you vote for this candidate if you know that s/he is a pedophile?)

Moreover, the elephant in the room is that if fabricated and/or dodgy polls are bought and sold, election results are actually rigged in advance by the polls themselves.

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